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BỘ GIÁO DỤC VÀ ĐÀO TẠO TRƯỜNG ĐẠI HỌC KINH TẾ TP.HCM ---- K --- HÀ NHẬT TIẾN PHÁT TRIỂN THỊ TRƯỜNG GIAO SAU MỘT CÔNG CỤ PHÒNG NGỪA RỦI RO TỶ GIÁ NGÀNH XUẤT NHẬP KHẨU NÔNG SẢN VIỆT NAM: NGUYÊN NHÂN VÀ GIẢI PHÁP Chuyên ngành: Quản trị kinh doanh Mã số: 60.34.05 LUẬN VĂN THẠC SĨ KINH TẾ NGƯỜI HƯỚNG DẪN: PGS.TS NGUYỄN NGỌC ĐỊNH THÀNH PHỐ HỒ CHÍ MINH – 2009   !∀ #∃ %∃& %∋()∗+,   %−.%/0∗123 ∃4∗5678∗9:;9:33<,2=> %0? (≅%ΑΒ%3 %∃& )Χ:∀ %∃& ) %∋ ∀% #∃ # %∋ ∗+∆∀23∗Ε%2 :%>Α%∀2Φ∀∆∀? ∗∃%Γ<ΑΗ∗7∆Ι #∃ :%6:∀ 3ϑΚ:∀ %0Λ Μ%% Α∗+5:∗46>:∋,023%8 :%∀=∋∀:∋ 2Φ∀∆∀? Ν−Ο∗+>%%:33,2=2 ΠΗΘ<ΡΗ %,2= Σ6% 6ΤΜ%7;Υϑ:%∆Ι #∃, ςΡΗ:?>Ο% %Γ∗7ΠΗΠΗ∋% Α<ΑΗ3Π? ΩΧ≅ϑ%ΞΨ=ΖΨΨ[ Χ3 , 7  ∴(]∴ ∀∗:∀ ⊥%∗∃<3% %8!∀;_ Φ #∃  %−.23Μ%% Α∗+Η?Ε−%%82367∆Η :%∗43 3∃<3 %23 ∀Φ%∗ ∀%Ρ> :%ΡΠ8% 3:? 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(  ΓΑ ∗Α6.Ν <Ο Π88 (  (   2;ΑΘ ∗&ΡΟ =Μ  8(; ΝΝ  Ο Σ   + ϑ ΤΤΤΙ≅8Υς Υ5 &9 α?β?α?(>2 %−∀%∀) Α%%∀:∀χδ%∀:−)%∀:∀?  ??????????????????????   εε ∗)ΩΙ  >=Μ 8Η∃Μ(  78  !  )& Ξ Ψ.Ψ8Ζ  Ζ 3[∴ ]Ξ ⊥3_ αβχδε ε Θ   ≅∋(≅   #∃%%ΘΘ Ξ Ψ  Ψ8    3φ   ]Ξ   ⊥3   γ  αη  _  χ  −ιϕ  η  ≅  κ%%ΘΘ∗ Ξ ΨΨ8∗ λµνο3[ ⊥3 γ αη_χ−ιϕη ΘΑ ≅ κπ%%ΘΘΑ Ξ ΨΨ89Ζ  Ζ 3[∴ ]Ξ ⊥3_ αβχδε ε π%%)Θ& Ξ ΨΨ8≅Ζ  Ζ  θ ιϕ3[∴ ]Ξ ⊥3_ 3ρβ χδεε δ ιστΞ+  ∋( #∃%%&5Θ)  Ξ  ∀% Ξ Ψ.Ψ8Ζ  Ζ 3[∴ ]Ξ ⊥3_ αβχδε ε Θ   ≅∋(≅   #∃%%ΘΘ Ξ Ψ  Ψ8    3φ   ]Ξ   ⊥3   γ  αη  _  χ  −ιϕ  η  ≅  κ%%ΘΘ∗ Ξ ΨΨ8∗ λµνο3[ ⊥3 γ αη_χ−ιϕη ΘΑ ≅ κπ%%ΘΘΑ Ξ ΨΨ89Ζ  Ζ 3[∴ ]Ξ ⊥3_ αβχδε ε π%%)Θ& Ξ ΨΨ8≅Ζ  Ζ  θ ιϕ3[∴ ]Ξ ⊥3_ 3ρβ χδεε δ ιστΞ+  ∋( #∃%%&5Θ) 2 4η κΡχ    ∋ Ρ!  :;<  .Β∃ ΗΙ! (  (  #∃%%&∋(%%)Θ Ρ! −2∃<  >≅  =υ #∃%%Θ∗∗ Ρ! 9−2∃< 89  =υ #∃%%Θ+ ϑ −  ς5∗Α Ρ! ≅Ρ!  ∃ϖ 8(; Νµϖ9) Ρ! 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